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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Mexico City in February

Mexico City in February: 9% of days see measurable rain, 77°F average high, 71% of days historically clear (n=226, ERA5 2018–2025).

Historically one of the better months to visit Mexico City for sun: 71% of days are clear on average (n=226, avg high 77°F). Every percentage here is a historical average from 8 years of ERA5 data — not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Mexico City page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late February

Clear-sky percentage for Mexico City in February, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early February
1st–15th		 64% n=120 77°F
Late February
16th–end		 79% n=106 77°F
Full month average 71% n=226 77°F

Sunshine & warmth in February

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for Mexico City in February. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early February
1st–15th		 79% n=120
Late February
16th–end		 93% n=106
Full month average 86% n=226
11.2 h median sunshine per day 98% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 9% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 71%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 86%. The 15-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

Mexico City clears solidly in February: 71% of days historically (n=226), avg high 77°F. Most trips here in February will find more sun than cloud.

Every month in Mexico City

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Mexico City, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month % Clear Sample (n)
January 52% n=248 All destinations →
February ← this page 71% n=226 All destinations →
March 71% n=248 All destinations →
April 51% n=240 All destinations →
May 33% n=248 All destinations →
June 18% n=240 All destinations →
July 1% n=248 All destinations →
August 2% n=248 All destinations →
September 4% n=240 All destinations →
October 20% n=248 All destinations →
November 52% n=240 All destinations →
December 50% n=248 All destinations →

Frequently asked

Does it rain in Mexico City in February?

Rarely. Only 9% of days in Mexico City see measurable rain in February, based on 8 years of ERA5 historical data (n=226 days, 2018–2025). This is a historical average, not a forecast.

Is Mexico City good for sun in February?

Yes. Mexico City is historically strong for sun in February: 71% of days are clear on average (avg high 77°F, n=226 days, ERA5 2018–2025).

How Mexico City compares in February

Head-to-head clear-sky comparisons against destinations travelers plausibly weigh against Mexico City this month — same passport tier, similar flight distance, both sides from the same 8-year ERA5 record.

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.