ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Memphis in September

Memphis in September: rain frequency data not yet backfilled for this month, 85°F average high, 58% of days historically clear (n=240, ERA5 2018–2025).

Memphis in September is a mixed month for sun: 58% of days historically clear (n=240, avg high 85°F). The outcome varies year to year — check the early/late split below. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Memphis page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late September

Clear-sky percentage for Memphis in September, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period	% Clear days	Sample (n)	Avg high
Early September 1st–15th	57%	n=120	85°F
Late September 16th–end	60%	n=120	85°F
Full month average	58%	n=240	85°F

Bottom line

Memphis in September is genuinely mixed: 58% of days historically clear (n=240), avg high 85°F — more clear than cloudy. The outcome varies year to year; don't book if you need guaranteed sun.

Every month in Memphis

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Memphis, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month	% Clear	Sample (n)
January	0%	n=248	All destinations →
February	1%	n=226	All destinations →
March	8%	n=248	All destinations →
April	20%	n=240	All destinations →
May	32%	n=248	All destinations →
June	38%	n=240	All destinations →
July	33%	n=248	All destinations →
August	42%	n=248	All destinations →
September ← this page	58%	n=240	All destinations →
October	45%	n=248	All destinations →
November	8%	n=240	All destinations →
December	1%	n=248	All destinations →

Frequently asked

Is Memphis good for sun in September?

It's mixed. Memphis in September is clear on 58% of days historically (avg high 85°F, n=240 days, ERA5 2018–2025) — the outcome varies year to year.

→ Memphis live forecast — this week’s actual 7-day weather, not historical
→ Best destinations in September — all destinations ranked by September clear-sky %
→ All destinations
→ Raw data (JSON) — buckets, n, source

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.