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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Los Cabos in October

Los Cabos in October: 12% of days see measurable rain, 88°F average high, 80% of days historically clear (n=248, ERA5 2018–2025).

Historically one of the better months to visit Los Cabos for sun: 80% of days are clear on average (n=248, avg high 88°F). Every percentage here is a historical average from 8 years of ERA5 data — not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Los Cabos page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late October

Clear-sky percentage for Los Cabos in October, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early October
1st–15th
67% n=120 88°F
Late October
16th–end
92% n=128 88°F
Full month average 80% n=248 88°F

Sunshine & warmth in October

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for Los Cabos in October. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early October
1st–15th
97% n=120
Late October
16th–end
98% n=128
Full month average 98% n=248
11.4 h median sunshine per day 96% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 12% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 80%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 98%. The 18-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

Los Cabos is historically one of the best destinations for sun in October: 80% of days meet the clear bar (avg high 88°F, n=248 days across 8 years). The two halves differ materially (67% early, 92% late) — favour the late half of the month. Pack for outdoor activity — this month consistently delivers.

Every month in Los Cabos

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Los Cabos, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month % Clear Sample (n)
January 91% n=248 All destinations →
February 88% n=226 All destinations →
March 98% n=248 All destinations →
April 99% n=240 All destinations →
May 98% n=248 All destinations →
June 92% n=240 All destinations →
July 85% n=248 All destinations →
August 55% n=248 All destinations →
September 51% n=240 All destinations →
October ← this page 80% n=248 All destinations →
November 88% n=240 All destinations →
December 89% n=248 All destinations →

Frequently asked

Does it rain in Los Cabos in October?

Rarely. Only 12% of days in Los Cabos see measurable rain in October, based on 8 years of ERA5 historical data (n=248 days, 2018–2025). This is a historical average, not a forecast.

Is Los Cabos good for sun in October?

Yes. Los Cabos is historically strong for sun in October: 80% of days are clear on average (avg high 88°F, n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025).

How Los Cabos compares in October

Head-to-head clear-sky comparisons against destinations travelers plausibly weigh against Los Cabos this month — same passport tier, similar flight distance, both sides from the same 8-year ERA5 record.

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.