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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Key West in December

Key West in December is a mixed month for sun: 41% of days historically clear (n=248, avg high 75°F). The outcome varies year to year — check the early/late split below. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Key West page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late December

Clear-sky percentage for Key West in December, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early December
1st–15th
48% n=120 75°F
Late December
16th–end
35% n=128 75°F
Full month average 41% n=248 75°F

Sunshine & warmth in December

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for Key West in December. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early December
1st–15th
85% n=120
Late December
16th–end
72% n=128
Full month average 78% n=248
10.3 h median sunshine per day 84% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 26% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 41%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 78%. The 37-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

Key West in December is genuinely mixed: 41% of days historically clear (n=248), avg high 75°F — more cloudy than clear. The outcome varies year to year; don't book if you need guaranteed sun.

Every month in Key West

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Key West, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month % Clear Sample (n)
January 27% n=248 All destinations →
February 37% n=226 All destinations →
March 45% n=248 All destinations →
April 44% n=240 All destinations →
May 33% n=248 All destinations →
June 14% n=240 All destinations →
July 17% n=248 All destinations →
August 13% n=248 All destinations →
September 11% n=240 All destinations →
October 13% n=248 All destinations →
November 30% n=240 All destinations →
December ← this page 41% n=248 All destinations →

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.