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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio in October

Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio in October: 97% of days see measurable rain, 82°F average high, 0% of days historically clear (n=248, ERA5 2018–2025).

Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio in October is historically a poor month for sun: only 0% of days clear across 8 years (n=248, avg high 82°F). February is the clearest month for Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late October

Clear-sky percentage for Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio in October, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early October
1st–15th		 1% n=120 82°F
Late October
16th–end		 0% n=128 82°F
Full month average 0% n=248 82°F

Sunshine & warmth in October

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio in October. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early October
1st–15th		 71% n=120
Late October
16th–end		 68% n=128
Full month average 69% n=248
7.6 h median sunshine per day 41% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 97% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 0%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 69%. The 69-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio is historically almost never clear in October: only 0% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=248). Come back in February if you want clear skies here. Plan entirely around indoor or overcast-friendly activities.

→ See all destinations in February — historically the best month for sun in Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio.

Every month in Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month % Clear Sample (n)
January 37% n=248 All destinations →
February 51% n=226 All destinations →
March 34% n=248 All destinations →
April 8% n=240 All destinations →
May 4% n=248 All destinations →
June 2% n=240 All destinations →
July 5% n=248 All destinations →
August 3% n=248 All destinations →
September 0% n=240 All destinations →
October ← this page 0% n=248 All destinations →
November 4% n=240 All destinations →
December 22% n=248 All destinations →

Frequently asked

Does it rain in Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio in October?

Yes, frequently. In Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio, 97% of days in October see measurable rain, based on 8 years of ERA5 historical data (n=248 days, 2018–2025). This is a historical average, not a forecast.

Is Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio good for sun in October?

Not usually. Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio is historically overcast in October: only 0% of days are clear (avg high 82°F, n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025). February is historically far better for sun here.

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.