ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Shenandoah Valley vs St. Martin: weather in July
Shenandoah Valley edges out St. Martin for sun in July: 34% clear historically versus 11% (8-year ERA5 average, a 23-point gap). Both are viable — Shenandoah Valley is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific July. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Shenandoah Valley
VA
- Clear days, July
- 34%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 87°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 35%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 34%
St. Martin
SX
- Clear days, July
- 11%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 80°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 15%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 7%
Compare Shenandoah Valley vs St. Martin in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.