ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Punta Mita vs San Francisco: weather in August
San Francisco edges out Punta Mita for sun in August: 21% clear historically versus 6% (8-year ERA5 average, a 15-point gap). Punta Mita also sees measurably more rain than San Francisco this month (82% vs 1% of days). Both are viable — San Francisco is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific August. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Punta Mita
MX
- Clear days, August
- 6%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 87°F
- Early August (1st–15th)
- 7%
- Late August (16th–end)
- 6%
- Rain frequency
- 82% of days
San Francisco
CA
- Clear days, August
- 21%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 68°F
- Early August (1st–15th)
- 15%
- Late August (16th–end)
- 27%
- Rain frequency
- 1% of days
Compare Punta Mita vs San Francisco in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.