ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Phoenix vs Tucson: weather in November
Phoenix edges out Tucson for sun in November: 63% clear historically versus 56% (8-year ERA5 average, a 7-point gap). Both are viable — Phoenix is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific November. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Phoenix
AZ
- Clear days, November
- 63%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 77°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 78%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 48%
- Rain frequency
- 7% of days
Tucson
AZ
- Clear days, November
- 56%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 75°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 73%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 38%
- Rain frequency
- 10% of days
Compare Phoenix vs Tucson in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.