ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Moab vs Sarasota: weather in October
Essentially a tie in October: Moab is 41% clear historically, Sarasota is 39% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 70°F vs 83°F. Sarasota also sees measurably more rain than Moab this month (36% vs 16% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Moab
UT
- Clear days, October
- 41%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 70°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 55%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 27%
- Rain frequency
- 16% of days
Sarasota
FL
- Clear days, October
- 39%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 83°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 30%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 48%
- Rain frequency
- 36% of days
Compare Moab vs Sarasota in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.