Skip to main content
SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data

Mérida vs Virginia Beach: weather in October

Essentially a tie in October: Mérida is 20% clear historically, Virginia Beach is 19% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 89°F vs 70°F. Mérida also sees measurably more rain than Virginia Beach this month (51% vs 26% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast. Either destination can still surprise you this specific October. For this week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.

Mérida

MX

Clear days, October
20%
Sample size
n=248 days
Avg high
89°F
Early October (1st–15th)
12%
Late October (16th–end)
28%
Rain frequency
51% of days

Virginia Beach

VA

Clear days, October
19%
Sample size
n=248 days
Avg high
70°F
Early October (1st–15th)
28%
Late October (16th–end)
10%
Rain frequency
26% of days

Compare Mérida vs Virginia Beach in another month

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.