ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Memphis vs Virginia Beach: weather in October
Memphis edges out Virginia Beach for sun in October: 45% clear historically versus 19% (8-year ERA5 average, a 26-point gap). Both are viable — Memphis is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific October. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Memphis
TN
- Clear days, October
- 45%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 74°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 60%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 30%
Virginia Beach
VA
- Clear days, October
- 19%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 70°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 28%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 10%
Compare Memphis vs Virginia Beach in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.