ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Marfa vs Sarasota: weather in October
Marfa is the clear winner for sun in October: 69% of days historically clear versus just 39% in Sarasota — a 30-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Sarasota also sees measurably more rain than Marfa this month (36% vs 11% of days). This isn't close.
Marfa
TX
- Clear days, October
- 69%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 78°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 77%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 61%
- Rain frequency
- 11% of days
Sarasota
FL
- Clear days, October
- 39%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 83°F
- Early October (1st–15th)
- 30%
- Late October (16th–end)
- 48%
- Rain frequency
- 36% of days
Frequently asked
Is Marfa or Sarasota warmer in October?
Sarasota runs warmer by day in October. Marfa averages highs of 78°F (highs n=248 days); Sarasota averages highs of 83°F (highs n=248 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Marfa or Sarasota in October?
Sarasota is measurably wetter than Marfa. Days with measurable rain: Marfa 11%, Sarasota 36% (n=248 and n=248 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in October, Marfa or Sarasota?
Marfa is the clear winner for sun in October: 69% of days historically clear versus just 39% in Sarasota — a 30-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Sarasota also sees measurably more rain than Marfa this month (36% vs 11% of days). This isn't close.
Compare Marfa vs Sarasota in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.