ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Marfa vs Santa Barbara: weather in February
Essentially a tie in February: Marfa is 19% clear historically, Santa Barbara is 22% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 65°F vs 66°F. Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific February. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Marfa
TX
- Clear days, February
- 19%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 65°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 14%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 25%
- Rain frequency
- 10% of days
Santa Barbara
CA
- Clear days, February
- 22%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 66°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 22%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 22%
- Rain frequency
- 18% of days
Compare Marfa vs Santa Barbara in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.