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SunnyDays

Texas · MAF

Marfa weather this week

Marfa, Texas Just your ID

Marfa scores 9.9 out of 10 and has 3 genuinely clear days out of 16.

9.9/10
Partly clear
3 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 0 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 16 forecast days.
Bright days 3 vs dull days 0. Bright wins.
Our model tiers this window Perfect, and the clear-day count supports that.

3-day window, zero rain — Sunshine, day after day — 3 of 3 straight, 84°F

The next 16 days in Marfa

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (44%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Tue 6 Oct–Thu 8 Oct: 9.9/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.9) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Marfa daily forecast, Wed 23 Sep to Thu 8 Oct (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 5.0. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
72°F 62°F 33% Overcast cloudy 7.7
Overcast, 72°F, light rain possible.
83°F 59°F 28% Overcast cloudy 7.9
Overcast, 83°F, light rain possible.
77°F 62°F 37% Rain wet 5.0
Rain, 77°F — it'll pass.
82°F 67°F 44% Rain showers wet 6.4
Rain showers, 82°F — it'll pass.
85°F 68°F 32% Overcast cloudy 7.7
Overcast, 85°F, light rain possible.
84°F 71°F 30% Drizzle wet 6.2
Drizzle, 84°F — it'll pass.
81°F 66°F 32% Rain showers wet 5.6
Rain showers, 81°F — it'll pass.
68°F 61°F 19% Rain showers wet 5.6
Rain showers, 68°F — it'll pass.
68°F 58°F 9% Overcast cloudy 8.0
Overcast, 68°F, toasty with a lid on.
80°F 56°F 13% Clear clear 9.9
Clear skies, 80°F, zero drama.
83°F 63°F 10% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 83°F, zero drama.
70°F 45°F 15% Overcast cloudy 8.1
Overcast, 70°F, dry as a bone.
66°F 42°F 23% Overcast cloudy 7.3
Overcast, 66°F, light rain possible.
73°F 48°F 20% Clear clear 9.7
Clear skies, 73°F, zero drama.
81°F 54°F 5% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 81°F, zero drama.
84°F 60°F 10% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 84°F, zero drama.

How this week got its score

  • 3 forecast days: 3 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 0 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 9.9 × 0.55 = 5.45
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 9.7 × 0.25 = 2.42 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 3/3 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Marfa

The nearest airport we price is MAF. From New York City that is about 3h 50m in the air out of EWR, 1665 miles. Then about 3h 40m to drive from CNM (est. 141 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 7h 30m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Marfa

We hold no live hotel rates for Marfa right now, so there is nothing honest to show here. Rates return as soon as the supplier does — the refresh state is on system status.

So, should you go?

Marfa scores 9.9 out of 10 and has 3 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Marfa this week?

No. The current 16-day forecast for Marfa shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 44% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.

How many clear days does Marfa have this week?

3. Marfa has 3 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Marfa good for a trip this week?

Yes. Marfa scores 9.9/10 with 3 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.

Marfa by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Marfa: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 1% n=248 all destinations →
February 19% n=226 all destinations →
March 48% n=248 all destinations →
April 78% n=240 all destinations →
May 73% n=248 all destinations →
June 70% n=240 all destinations →
July 61% n=248 all destinations →
August 60% n=248 all destinations →
September 64% n=240 all destinations →
October 69% n=248 all destinations →
November 34% n=240 all destinations →
December 11% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Marfa in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-24T02:07:50.537610Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.