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California · SBA

Santa Barbara weather, next 16 days

Santa Barbara, California Just your ID

Santa Barbara scores 9.0 out of 10 and has 4 genuinely clear days out of 16. Dull days (11) still outnumber bright ones (5), so this is not a good run of weather.

9.0/10
Mostly dull
4 genuinely clear days, 1 partly cloudy, 9 overcast, 2 wet-sky, out of 16 forecast days. Rain is in the hourly forecast on 5 days (72h).
Bright days 5 vs dull days 11. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good forecast.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

7-day run 7–13 Nov, 0.1% rain-affected · 4 clear, rain on 5 of 16 forecast days (72h) — The clouds are winning — 3 clear days out of 7, 83°F · 7-day run 7–13 Nov; rain 13 Nov (1h, overnight); rain on 4 of the other 9 days (71h)

The next 16 days in Santa Barbara

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (48%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Sat 7 Nov–Fri 13 Nov: 9.0/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (9.0) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Santa Barbara daily forecast, Sat 7 Nov to Sun 22 Nov (16 days total). Best single day scores 10.0; worst scores 5.4. A lone good day cannot carry the forecast.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
82°F 58°F 0% Mainly clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 82°F, zero drama.
83°F 62°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 83°F, dry as a bone.
80°F 64°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 80°F, dry as a bone.
79°F 65°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 79°F, dry as a bone.
80°F 68°F 0% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 80°F, zero drama.
79°F 67°F 10% Clear clear 10.0
Clear skies, 79°F, zero drama.
78°F 65°F 26% Overcast cloudy 8.0
Overcast, 78°F, light rain possible — rain overnight only (1 hour), dry while you're up.
71°F 63°F 26% Rain showers wet 6.6
Rain showers, 71°F — it'll pass — but 15 hours of rain are in the forecast.
68°F 60°F 48% Heavy drizzle wet 5.4
Heavy drizzle, 68°F — it'll pass — but 16 hours of rain are in the forecast.
69°F 58°F 48% Overcast cloudy 6.7
Overcast, 69°F, light rain possible — but 16 hours of rain are in the forecast.
67°F 59°F 19% Overcast cloudy 7.7
Overcast, 67°F, toasty with a lid on.
68°F 58°F 15% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 68°F, toasty with a lid on — but 4 hours of rain are in the forecast.
66°F 54°F 10% Overcast cloudy 7.8
Overcast, 66°F, toasty with a lid on.
69°F 55°F 16% Partly cloudy partly 8.8
Partly cloudy, 69°F, not a drop of rain.
73°F 60°F 16% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Overcast, 73°F, dry as a bone.
74°F 62°F 16% Clear clear 9.8
Clear skies, 74°F, zero drama.

How this forecast got its score

  • 7 forecast days: 3 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 4 overcast or foggy, 0 with a drizzle/rain/snow sky code, 0 stormy (sky codes; rain hours below).
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 9.1 × 0.55 = 4.98
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 8.0 × 0.25 = 2.00 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 7/7 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 10.0 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Hourly forecast: rain on 1 of 7 days (1h): 13 Nov (1h, overnight).
  • Whole 16-day forecast: 4 clear, 1 partly cloudy, 9 overcast or foggy, 2 with a rain sky code, 0 with a storm sky code; rain hours on 5 of them (72h).

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad run, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Santa Barbara

The nearest airport we price is SBA. From New York City the fastest itinerary we have seen out of JFK takes 8h (verified, Duffel), 1 stop. Then about 13m to drive from SBA (est. 8 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: ~8h 13m (estimated: the drive is a road model). Flight times from 56 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Santa Barbara

24 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. Each price is the total for the stay, taxes and mandatory fees included, as last returned for the window above — a held rate, not a quote, and it moves. A hotel whose total with taxes and fees we cannot confirm shows no price.

Hotels: best time to visit and prices by month

Hotels in Santa Barbara with enough price history for a month-by-month page: weather by half-month and the nightly rates our searches have observed.

So, should you go?

Santa Barbara scores 9.0 out of 10 and has 4 genuinely clear days out of 16. Dull days (11) still outnumber bright ones (5), so this is not a good run of weather. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Santa Barbara in the next 16 days?

Yes. 5 of the next 16 days in Santa Barbara have rain in the forecast (72 forecast rain hours), peaking at 48% chance on the worst day. The run we list, Sat 7 Nov to Fri 13 Nov, is the stretch that clears our rain bar.

How many clear days does Santa Barbara have in the next 16 days?

4. Santa Barbara has 4 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Santa Barbara good for a trip right now?

Marginal. Santa Barbara scores 9.0/10, but dull days (11) still outnumber bright ones (5) over the next 16 days.

Santa Barbara by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 16-day forecast above is what is actually coming. They can and do differ.

Santa Barbara: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 19% n=248 all destinations →
February 22% n=226 all destinations →
March 19% n=248 all destinations →
April 48% n=240 all destinations →
May 46% n=248 all destinations →
June 70% n=240 all destinations →
July 93% n=248 all destinations →
August 96% n=248 all destinations →
September 83% n=240 all destinations →
October 81% n=248 all destinations →
November 48% n=240 all destinations →
December 19% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Santa Barbara in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-11-08T02:11:23.205160Z. Hotel names and rates come from third-party supplier data and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.