ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Los Angeles vs Tulum: weather in January
Essentially a tie in January: Los Angeles is 23% clear historically, Tulum is 23% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 67°F vs 80°F. Tulum also sees measurably more rain than Los Angeles this month (50% vs 16% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Los Angeles
CA
- Clear days, January
- 23%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 67°F
- Early January (1st–15th)
- 18%
- Late January (16th–end)
- 27%
- Rain frequency
- 16% of days
Tulum
Mexico
- Clear days, January
- 23%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 80°F
- Early January (1st–15th)
- 25%
- Late January (16th–end)
- 21%
- Rain frequency
- 50% of days
Frequently asked
Is Los Angeles or Tulum warmer in January?
Tulum runs warmer by day in January. Los Angeles averages highs of 67°F (highs n=248 days); Tulum averages highs of 80°F (highs n=248 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.
Does it rain more in Los Angeles or Tulum in January?
Tulum is measurably wetter than Los Angeles. Days with measurable rain: Los Angeles 16%, Tulum 50% (n=248 and n=248 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.
Which is sunnier in January, Los Angeles or Tulum?
Essentially a tie in January: Los Angeles is 23% clear historically, Tulum is 23% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 67°F vs 80°F. Tulum also sees measurably more rain than Los Angeles this month (50% vs 16% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Compare Los Angeles vs Tulum in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.