ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Lisbon vs Málaga / Costa del Sol: weather in March
Málaga / Costa del Sol edges out Lisbon for sun in March: 14% clear historically versus 7% (8-year ERA5 average, a 7-point gap). Both are viable — Málaga / Costa del Sol is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific March. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Lisbon
PT
- Clear days, March
- 7%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 64°F
- Early March (1st–15th)
- 2%
- Late March (16th–end)
- 12%
Málaga / Costa del Sol
ES
- Clear days, March
- 14%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 67°F
- Early March (1st–15th)
- 13%
- Late March (16th–end)
- 14%
Compare Lisbon vs Málaga / Costa del Sol in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.