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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data

Jamaica vs Marfa: weather in February

Essentially a tie in February: Jamaica is 19% clear historically, Marfa is 19% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 81°F vs 65°F. Jamaica also sees measurably more rain than Marfa this month (39% vs 10% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast. Either destination can still surprise you this specific February. For this week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.

Jamaica

JM

Clear days, February
19%
Sample size
n=226 days
Avg high
81°F
Early February (1st–15th)
18%
Late February (16th–end)
21%
Rain frequency
39% of days

Marfa

TX

Clear days, February
19%
Sample size
n=226 days
Avg high
65°F
Early February (1st–15th)
14%
Late February (16th–end)
25%
Rain frequency
10% of days
See this week’s live forecast →

Compare Jamaica vs Marfa in another month

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.