Skip to main content
SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data

Jacksonville vs Nashville: weather in September

Nashville edges out Jacksonville for sun in September: 48% clear historically versus 22% (8-year ERA5 average, a 26-point gap). Jacksonville also sees measurably more rain than Nashville this month (58% vs 32% of days). Both are viable — Nashville is the safer bet.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast. Either destination can still surprise you this specific September. For the actual forecast right now, each destination links to its live page below.

Jacksonville

FL

Clear days, September
22%
Sample size
n=240 days
Avg high
86°F
Early September (1st–15th)
17%
Late September (16th–end)
27%
Rain frequency
58% of days
See the live forecast →

Nashville

TN

Clear days, September
48%
Sample size
n=240 days
Avg high
83°F
Early September (1st–15th)
48%
Late September (16th–end)
47%
Rain frequency
32% of days

Frequently asked

Is Jacksonville or Nashville warmer in September?

Jacksonville runs warmer by day in September. Jacksonville averages highs of 86°F (highs n=240 days); Nashville averages highs of 83°F (highs n=240 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.

Does it rain more in Jacksonville or Nashville in September?

Jacksonville is measurably wetter than Nashville. Days with measurable rain: Jacksonville 58%, Nashville 32% (n=240 and n=240 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.

Which is sunnier in September, Jacksonville or Nashville?

Nashville edges out Jacksonville for sun in September: 48% clear historically versus 22% (8-year ERA5 average, a 26-point gap). Jacksonville also sees measurably more rain than Nashville this month (58% vs 32% of days). Both are viable — Nashville is the safer bet.

Compare Jacksonville vs Nashville in another month

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.