ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Gulf Shores vs Jacksonville: weather in August
Gulf Shores edges out Jacksonville for sun in August: 14% clear historically versus 7% (8-year ERA5 average, a 7-point gap). Jacksonville also sees measurably more rain than Gulf Shores this month (77% vs 62% of days). Both are viable — Gulf Shores is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific August. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Gulf Shores
AL
- Clear days, August
- 14%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 87°F
- Early August (1st–15th)
- 12%
- Late August (16th–end)
- 16%
- Rain frequency
- 62% of days
Jacksonville
FL
- Clear days, August
- 7%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 88°F
- Early August (1st–15th)
- 6%
- Late August (16th–end)
- 8%
- Rain frequency
- 77% of days
Compare Gulf Shores vs Jacksonville in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.