ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Fort Lauderdale vs Key West: weather in July
Key West edges out Fort Lauderdale for sun in July: 17% clear historically versus 5% (8-year ERA5 average, a 12-point gap). Fort Lauderdale also sees measurably more rain than Key West this month (79% vs 55% of days). Both are viable — Key West is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific July. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Fort Lauderdale
FL
- Clear days, July
- 5%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 88°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 4%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 5%
- Rain frequency
- 79% of days
Key West
FL
- Clear days, July
- 17%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 19%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 16%
- Rain frequency
- 55% of days
Compare Fort Lauderdale vs Key West in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.