ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Exuma vs Sarasota: weather in February
Essentially a tie in February: Exuma is 39% clear historically, Sarasota is 38% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 77°F vs 74°F. Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific February. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Exuma
BS
- Clear days, February
- 39%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 77°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 36%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 42%
- Rain frequency
- 20% of days
Sarasota
FL
- Clear days, February
- 38%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 74°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 33%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 43%
- Rain frequency
- 19% of days
Compare Exuma vs Sarasota in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.