ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Exuma vs Mexico City: weather in June
Essentially a tie in June: Exuma is 20% clear historically, Mexico City is 18% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 83°F vs 78°F. Mexico City also sees measurably more rain than Exuma this month (62% vs 42% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Exuma
BS
- Clear days, June
- 20%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 83°F
- Early June (1st–15th)
- 18%
- Late June (16th–end)
- 22%
- Rain frequency
- 42% of days
Mexico City
MX
- Clear days, June
- 18%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 78°F
- Early June (1st–15th)
- 22%
- Late June (16th–end)
- 13%
- Rain frequency
- 62% of days
Compare Exuma vs Mexico City in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.