ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Dallas vs Traverse City: weather in September
Dallas edges out Traverse City for sun in September: 48% clear historically versus 28% (8-year ERA5 average, a 20-point gap). Both are viable — Dallas is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific September. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Dallas
TX
- Clear days, September
- 48%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 90°F
- Early September (1st–15th)
- 46%
- Late September (16th–end)
- 51%
- Rain frequency
- 30% of days
Traverse City
MI
- Clear days, September
- 28%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 72°F
- Early September (1st–15th)
- 28%
- Late September (16th–end)
- 29%
Compare Dallas vs Traverse City in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.