ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Dallas vs Jamaica: weather in September
Dallas is the clear winner for sun in September: 48% of days historically clear versus just 4% in Jamaica — a 44-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Jamaica also sees measurably more rain than Dallas this month (79% vs 30% of days). This isn't close.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific September. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Dallas
TX
- Clear days, September
- 48%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 90°F
- Early September (1st–15th)
- 46%
- Late September (16th–end)
- 51%
- Rain frequency
- 30% of days
Jamaica
JM
- Clear days, September
- 4%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 87°F
- Early September (1st–15th)
- 4%
- Late September (16th–end)
- 3%
- Rain frequency
- 79% of days
Compare Dallas vs Jamaica in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.