ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio vs Jamaica: weather in September
Essentially a tie in September: Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio is 0% clear historically, Jamaica is 4% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 83°F vs 87°F. Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific September. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio
CR
- Clear days, September
- 0%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 83°F
- Early September (1st–15th)
- 0%
- Late September (16th–end)
- 0%
- Rain frequency
- 92% of days
Jamaica
JM
- Clear days, September
- 4%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 87°F
- Early September (1st–15th)
- 4%
- Late September (16th–end)
- 3%
- Rain frequency
- 79% of days
Compare Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio vs Jamaica in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.