ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Costa Rica — Guanacaste vs Punta Mita: weather in May
Punta Mita is the clear winner for sun in May: 92% of days historically clear versus just 9% in Costa Rica — Guanacaste — a 83-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Costa Rica — Guanacaste also sees measurably more rain than Punta Mita this month (78% vs 3% of days). This isn't close.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific May. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Costa Rica — Guanacaste
CR
- Clear days, May
- 9%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 91°F
- Early May (1st–15th)
- 13%
- Late May (16th–end)
- 5%
- Rain frequency
- 78% of days
Punta Mita
MX
- Clear days, May
- 92%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 84°F
- Early May (1st–15th)
- 97%
- Late May (16th–end)
- 88%
- Rain frequency
- 3% of days
Compare Costa Rica — Guanacaste vs Punta Mita in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.