ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Costa Rica — Guanacaste vs Mérida: weather in November
Mérida edges out Costa Rica — Guanacaste for sun in November: 38% clear historically versus 18% (8-year ERA5 average, a 20-point gap). Costa Rica — Guanacaste also sees measurably more rain than Mérida this month (62% vs 35% of days). Both are viable — Mérida is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific November. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Costa Rica — Guanacaste
CR
- Clear days, November
- 18%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 10%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 25%
- Rain frequency
- 62% of days
Mérida
MX
- Clear days, November
- 38%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early November (1st–15th)
- 29%
- Late November (16th–end)
- 47%
- Rain frequency
- 35% of days
Compare Costa Rica — Guanacaste vs Mérida in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.