ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Cancún vs Scottsdale Desert Ridge: weather in February
Scottsdale Desert Ridge edges out Cancún for sun in February: 35% clear historically versus 22% (8-year ERA5 average, a 13-point gap). Cancún also sees measurably more rain than Scottsdale Desert Ridge this month (42% vs 13% of days). Both are viable — Scottsdale Desert Ridge is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific February. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Cancún
MX
- Clear days, February
- 22%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 81°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 18%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 27%
- Rain frequency
- 42% of days
Scottsdale Desert Ridge
AZ
- Clear days, February
- 35%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 68°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 36%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 33%
- Rain frequency
- 13% of days
Compare Cancún vs Scottsdale Desert Ridge in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.