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SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data

Cancún vs San Antonio: weather in September

San Antonio is the clear winner for sun in September: 36% of days historically clear versus just 5% in Cancún — a 31-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Cancún also sees measurably more rain than San Antonio this month (71% vs 31% of days). This isn't close.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast. Either destination can still surprise you this specific September. For the actual forecast right now, each destination links to its live page below.

Cancún

Mexico

Clear days, September
5%
Sample size
n=240 days
Avg high
88°F
Early September (1st–15th)
5%
Late September (16th–end)
5%
Rain frequency
71% of days

San Antonio

TX

Clear days, September
36%
Sample size
n=240 days
Avg high
92°F
Early September (1st–15th)
30%
Late September (16th–end)
42%
Rain frequency
31% of days

Frequently asked

Is Cancún or San Antonio warmer in September?

San Antonio runs warmer by day in September. Cancún averages highs of 88°F (highs n=240 days); San Antonio averages highs of 92°F (highs n=240 days) (ERA5 2018–2025). Historical averages, not a forecast.

Does it rain more in Cancún or San Antonio in September?

Cancún is measurably wetter than San Antonio. Days with measurable rain: Cancún 71%, San Antonio 31% (n=240 and n=240 days). ERA5 2018–2025; historical, not a forecast.

Which is sunnier in September, Cancún or San Antonio?

San Antonio is the clear winner for sun in September: 36% of days historically clear versus just 5% in Cancún — a 31-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Cancún also sees measurably more rain than San Antonio this month (71% vs 31% of days). This isn't close.

Compare Cancún vs San Antonio in another month

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live forecast for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.