ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Cancún vs Las Vegas: weather in February
Cancún edges out Las Vegas for sun in February: 22% clear historically versus 15% (8-year ERA5 average, a 7-point gap). Cancún also sees measurably more rain than Las Vegas this month (42% vs 12% of days). Both are viable — Cancún is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific February. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Cancún
MX
- Clear days, February
- 22%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 81°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 18%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 27%
- Rain frequency
- 42% of days
Las Vegas
NV
- Clear days, February
- 15%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 63°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 17%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 12%
- Rain frequency
- 12% of days
Compare Cancún vs Las Vegas in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.