ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Cancún vs Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio: weather in April
Cancún is the clear winner for sun in April: 40% of days historically clear versus just 8% in Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio — a 32-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio also sees measurably more rain than Cancún this month (63% vs 26% of days). This isn't close.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific April. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Cancún
MX
- Clear days, April
- 40%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 85°F
- Early April (1st–15th)
- 38%
- Late April (16th–end)
- 42%
- Rain frequency
- 26% of days
Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio
CR
- Clear days, April
- 8%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early April (1st–15th)
- 14%
- Late April (16th–end)
- 3%
- Rain frequency
- 63% of days
Compare Cancún vs Costa Rica — Manuel Antonio in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.