ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Aspen vs Traverse City: weather in May
Traverse City edges out Aspen for sun in May: 14% clear historically versus 3% (8-year ERA5 average, a 11-point gap). Both are viable — Traverse City is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific May. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Aspen
CO
- Clear days, May
- 3%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 59°F
- Early May (1st–15th)
- 0%
- Late May (16th–end)
- 5%
- Rain frequency
- 32% of days
Traverse City
MI
- Clear days, May
- 14%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 65°F
- Early May (1st–15th)
- 8%
- Late May (16th–end)
- 19%
Compare Aspen vs Traverse City in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.