ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Aruba vs Costa Rica — Guanacaste: weather in April
Essentially a tie in April: Aruba is 33% clear historically, Costa Rica — Guanacaste is 33% clear (8-year ERA5 average) — within the noise. Avg high 86°F vs 96°F. Costa Rica — Guanacaste also sees measurably more rain than Aruba this month (40% vs 24% of days). Pick based on flight time or price, not weather — the weather won't decide this one for you.
Aruba
AW
- Clear days, April
- 33%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early April (1st–15th)
- 40%
- Late April (16th–end)
- 26%
- Rain frequency
- 24% of days
Costa Rica — Guanacaste
CR
- Clear days, April
- 33%
- Sample size
- n=240 days
- Avg high
- 96°F
- Early April (1st–15th)
- 42%
- Late April (16th–end)
- 24%
- Rain frequency
- 40% of days
Compare Aruba vs Costa Rica — Guanacaste in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.