ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Amsterdam vs Paris: weather in July
Paris edges out Amsterdam for sun in July: 45% clear historically versus 19% (8-year ERA5 average, a 26-point gap). Both are viable — Paris is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific July. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Amsterdam
NL
- Clear days, July
- 19%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 71°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 15%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 23%
Paris
FR
- Clear days, July
- 45%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 78°F
- Early July (1st–15th)
- 45%
- Late July (16th–end)
- 45%
Compare Amsterdam vs Paris in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.