ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Amelia Island vs Boundary Waters: weather in August
Boundary Waters edges out Amelia Island for sun in August: 30% clear historically versus 9% (8-year ERA5 average, a 21-point gap). Amelia Island also sees measurably more rain than Boundary Waters this month (81% vs 41% of days). Both are viable — Boundary Waters is the safer bet.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific August. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Amelia Island
FL
- Clear days, August
- 9%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 86°F
- Early August (1st–15th)
- 8%
- Late August (16th–end)
- 9%
- Rain frequency
- 81% of days
Boundary Waters
MN
- Clear days, August
- 30%
- Sample size
- n=248 days
- Avg high
- 75°F
- Early August (1st–15th)
- 33%
- Late August (16th–end)
- 27%
- Rain frequency
- 41% of days
Compare Amelia Island vs Boundary Waters in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.