ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Cancún in August

Cancún in August: rain frequency data not yet backfilled for this month, 88°F average high, 9% of days historically clear (n=248, ERA5 2018–2025).

Cancún in August is historically a poor month for sun: only 9% of days clear across 8 years (n=248, avg high 88°F). April is the clearest month for Cancún historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Cancún page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late August

Clear-sky percentage for Cancún in August, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period	% Clear days	Sample (n)	Avg high
Early August 1st–15th	6%	n=120	88°F
Late August 16th–end	12%	n=128	88°F
Full month average	9%	n=248	88°F

Bottom line

Cancún is a poor choice for sun in August: just 9% of days clear historically (n=248). April is the historically strongest month for sun here. The 8-year record is consistent — this is not a fluke bad stretch.

→ See all destinations in April — historically the best month for sun in Cancún.

Every month in Cancún

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Cancún, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month	% Clear	Sample (n)
January	21%	n=248	All destinations →
February	22%	n=226	All destinations →
March	34%	n=248	All destinations →
April	40%	n=240	All destinations →
May	21%	n=248	All destinations →
June	10%	n=240	All destinations →
July	11%	n=248	All destinations →
August ← this page	9%	n=248	All destinations →
September	5%	n=240	All destinations →
October	10%	n=248	All destinations →
November	15%	n=240	All destinations →
December	20%	n=248	All destinations →

Frequently asked

Is Cancún good for sun in August?

Not usually. Cancún is historically overcast in August: only 9% of days are clear (avg high 88°F, n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025). April is historically far better for sun here.

→ Cancún live forecast — this week’s actual 7-day weather, not historical
→ Best destinations in August — all destinations ranked by August clear-sky %
→ All destinations
→ Raw data (JSON) — buckets, n, source

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.