Skip to main content
SunnyDays

ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Belize in October

Belize in October: 78% of days see measurable rain, 85°F average high, 5% of days historically clear (n=248, ERA5 2018–2025).

Belize in October is historically a poor month for sun: only 5% of days clear across 8 years (n=248, avg high 85°F). March is the clearest month for Belize historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Belize page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late October

Clear-sky percentage for Belize in October, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period % Clear days Sample (n) Avg high
Early October
1st–15th		 5% n=120 85°F
Late October
16th–end		 5% n=128 85°F
Full month average 5% n=248 85°F

Sunshine & warmth in October

A second measure using actual sunshine hours (ERA5 sunshine_duration), not the daily weather code. A Lowcountry day with 12 hours of sun and a 25-minute afternoon storm is counted below as a warm, sunny day — because it was. How we define this.

Sunshine-based metrics for Belize in October. Primary: % of days ≥ 72°F with > 6 h of sunshine.
Period Warm & sunny (≥72°F, >6 h sun) Sample (n)
Early October
1st–15th		 92% n=120
Late October
16th–end		 89% n=128
Full month average 90% n=248
10.9 h median sunshine per day 86% of days exceed 8 h sunshine 78% of days see ≥ 1 mm rain — rain is not hidden
Comparison (old vs new): WMO-code “clear” bar: 5%. Sunshine-based “warm & sunny”: 90%. The 85-point gap is from brief afternoon convective storms that stamp the whole day as “rain” in the WMO code but leave the bulk of the sunshine untouched.

Bottom line

Belize is a poor choice for sun in October: just 5% of days clear historically (n=248). March is the historically strongest month for sun here. The 8-year record is consistent — this is not a fluke bad stretch.

→ See all destinations in March — historically the best month for sun in Belize.

Every month in Belize

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Belize, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month % Clear Sample (n)
January 14% n=248 All destinations →
February 14% n=226 All destinations →
March 18% n=248 All destinations →
April 18% n=240 All destinations →
May 9% n=248 All destinations →
June 4% n=240 All destinations →
July 2% n=248 All destinations →
August 0% n=248 All destinations →
September 0% n=240 All destinations →
October ← this page 5% n=248 All destinations →
November 7% n=240 All destinations →
December 10% n=248 All destinations →

Frequently asked

Does it rain in Belize in October?

Yes, frequently. In Belize, 78% of days in October see measurable rain, based on 8 years of ERA5 historical data (n=248 days, 2018–2025). This is a historical average, not a forecast.

Is Belize good for sun in October?

Not usually. Belize is historically overcast in October: only 5% of days are clear (avg high 85°F, n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025). March is historically far better for sun here.

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.