ERA5 almanac — 8 years of real data

Bali in January

Bali in January: rain frequency data not yet backfilled for this month, 80°F average high, 3% of days historically clear (n=248, ERA5 2018–2025).

Bali in January is historically a poor month for sun: only 3% of days clear across 8 years (n=248, avg high 80°F). May is the clearest month for Bali historically. Historical average, not a forecast.

What you are reading: 8-year historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis, not a forecast. A month that is historically 90% clear can still be overcast on your specific trip. For this week’s actual forecast, see the live Bali page. Both can be true at once: “historically strong in this month; this particular week is not.” We label which is which.

Early vs. Late January

Clear-sky percentage for Bali in January, split by half-month. “n” is the number of days sampled across 8 years (2018–2025).
Period	% Clear days	Sample (n)	Avg high
Early January 1st–15th	5%	n=120	80°F
Late January 16th–end	1%	n=128	80°F
Full month average	3%	n=248	80°F

Bottom line

Bali is historically almost never clear in January: only 3% of days meet the clear bar across 8 years (n=248). Come back in May if you want clear skies here. Plan entirely around indoor or overcast-friendly activities.

→ See all destinations in May — historically the best month for sun in Bali.

Every month in Bali

Compare across all months with data. Numbers are historical clear-sky %.

Historical clear-sky % for Bali, all months, ERA5 2018–2025.
Month	% Clear	Sample (n)
January ← this page	3%	n=248	All destinations →
February	1%	n=226	All destinations →
March	0%	n=248	All destinations →
April	8%	n=240	All destinations →
May	10%	n=248	All destinations →
June	6%	n=240	All destinations →
July	5%	n=248	All destinations →
August	10%	n=248	All destinations →
September	9%	n=240	All destinations →
October	8%	n=248	All destinations →
November	2%	n=240	All destinations →
December	2%	n=248	All destinations →

Frequently asked

Is Bali good for sun in January?

Not usually. Bali is historically overcast in January: only 3% of days are clear (avg high 80°F, n=248 days, ERA5 2018–2025). May is historically far better for sun here.

→ Bali live forecast — this week’s actual 7-day weather, not historical
→ Best destinations in January — all destinations ranked by January clear-sky %
→ All destinations
→ Raw data (JSON) — buckets, n, source

All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.