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SunnyDays

New Mexico · SAF

Taos weather this week

Taos, New Mexico

Taos scores 6.0 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 7.

6.0/10
Wet, and no sun
<built-in method clear of dict object at 0x7ce26b7b6b00> genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 4 wet, 0 stormy — out of 7 forecast days.
Bright days 0 vs dull days 7. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

3 cloudy / 4 wet days, no clear days in 7 — You will get rained on — 4 wet days of 7

The next 7 days in Taos

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 7 days (48%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Sat 8 Aug–Mon 10 Aug: 7.9/10 for those days alone. The 7-day outlook score (6.0) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Taos daily forecast, Sat 8 Aug to Fri 14 Aug (7 days total). Best single day scores 8.1; worst scores 5.6. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
91°F 54°F 2% Overcast cloudy 8.1
Cloudy and dry
92°F 62°F 7% Overcast cloudy 7.8
Cloudy and dry
92°F 63°F 15% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Cloudy and dry
92°F 61°F 31% Drizzle wet 6.2
Drizzle - expect to get wet
86°F 59°F 41% Rain showers wet 5.6
Rain showers - expect to get wet
84°F 56°F 48% Light drizzle wet 6.4
Light drizzle - expect to get wet
81°F 59°F 40% Drizzle wet 6.2
Drizzle - expect to get wet

How this week got its score

  • 7 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 4 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 6.7 × 0.55 = 3.70
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 5.6 × 0.25 = 1.40 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 3/7 = 43% coverage × 0.20 = 0.86
  • Best single day is 8.1 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-08→2026-08-10) scores 7.9 on its own.
  • Legacy gate counted 3/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 0 genuinely clear.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Taos

The nearest airport we price is SAF. From New York City that is about 4h 01m in the air out of EWR, 1759 miles. Then about 10m to drive from TSM (est. 7 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 4h 11m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Taos

2 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Taos scores 6.0 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 7. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Taos by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Taos: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 0% n=248 all destinations →
February 0% n=226 all destinations →
March 0% n=248 all destinations →
April 8% n=240 all destinations →
May 40% n=248 all destinations →
June 64% n=240 all destinations →
July 48% n=248 all destinations →
August 53% n=248 all destinations →
September 64% n=240 all destinations →
October 17% n=248 all destinations →
November 0% n=240 all destinations →
December 0% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Taos in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-09T05:01:05.311896Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.