Florida · JAX
St. Augustine weather this week
St. Augustine scores 5.2 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 7. Dull days (6) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week.
1 clear of 7 days · best run 1 days — The clouds are winning — 1 clear day out of 7 and 103°F heat
The next 7 days in St. Augustine
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 7 days (19%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
Booking window Sun 9 Aug–Tue 11 Aug: 5.7/10 for those days alone. The 7-day outlook score (5.2) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86°F | 76°F | 19% | Rain showers wet | 5.6 Rain showers - expect to get wet |
|
| 85°F | 75°F | 12% | Overcast cloudy | 8.4 Cloudy but warm & dry |
|
| 100°F | 77°F | 13% | Drizzle cloudy | 5.7 Cloudy and dry |
|
| 102°F | 76°F | 11% | Clear clear | 7.8 Clear but hot (102°F) |
|
| 103°F | 77°F | 12% | Overcast cloudy | 6.0 Cloudy and dry |
|
| 102°F | 77°F | 19% | Overcast cloudy | 6.0 Cloudy and dry |
|
| 101°F | 78°F | 19% | Overcast cloudy | 6.1 Cloudy and dry |
How this week got its score
- 7 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 5 overcast, 1 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 6.3 × 0.55 = 3.48
- Worst day drag: worst day is 5.6 × 0.25 = 1.40 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 1/7 = 14% coverage × 0.20 = 0.29
- Best single day is 8.4 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
- Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-09→2026-08-11) scores 5.7 on its own.
- Legacy gate counted 7/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 1 genuinely clear.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to St. Augustine
The nearest airport we price is JAX. From New York City that is about 2h 08m in the air out of EWR, 821 miles. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in St. Augustine
3 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.
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$252per night$756 total
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$231per night$694 total
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$59.69per night$179 total
So, should you go?
St. Augustine scores 5.2 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 7. Dull days (6) still outnumber bright ones (1), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.
St. Augustine by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 9% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 22% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 25% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 42% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 40% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 14% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 9% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 6% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 17% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 34% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 23% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 13% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for St. Augustine in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-09T05:01:05.311896Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.