Lisbon · weather and prices by month
Best time to visit Villa 3 Caparica, Lisbon GAY Beach Hotel
The best weather at Villa 3 Caparica, Lisbon GAY Beach Hotel is 16–31 Jul: on 100% of days it is warm with 6+ hours of sun, and rain falls on 2% of days. Best value with good weather in the prices we have observed: 1–15 Oct (rain on 14% of days), when nightly rates for October check-ins had a median of $187 (n=17). The cheapest month we have observed is November (median $182, n=3).
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No window open at Lisbon right now.
Lisbon does not pass our rain rule in the current forecast (run 2026-11-08 05:02 UTC). What the forecast says →
The rain rule this uses
We look for a run of days in a destination's forecast that clears every check below. One failing day fails the whole run — a wet day is never averaged away against dry ones.
- Every day in the run: daytime high above 70 °F (21.1 °C) and no higher than 100 °F (37.8 °C), with a complete hour-by-hour forecast. A day with missing hours fails; we don't fill gaps with guesses.
- No thunderstorm hours, day or night.
- An hour counts as wet if the forecast codes rain, drizzle, showers or snow, or gives a 25% or higher chance of precipitation, or 0.2 mm or more of it. Wet hours between 23:00 and 07:00 count at 25% weight because you're asleep; storms never get that discount.
- No single day may carry more than 3 weighted wet hours.
- Across the whole run, weighted wet hours must stay under 5% of its hours.
- Runs are 3–14 days long, found within the next 16 days of forecast.
Those numbers are read from our live settings each time this page is rendered.
We do not gate on cloud. A warm, dry, overcast day is a good day; rain is what ruins a trip. Cloud only affects ranking.
Forecast data comes from Open-Meteo. The 0–10 score built on top of this is explained on the methodology page.
Weather by half-month
8 years of ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025) from Open-Meteo, at the almanac point for Lisbon, Portugal (38.7169, -9.1395), 10 km from the hotel. That is the nearest point in our almanac, not a station at the hotel. “Warm + sun” = share of days with a high of at least 72°F and more than 6 hours of sunshine. “Rain” = share of days with any precipitation.
| Period | Warm + sun | Rain | Median sun | Avg high | Days | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–15 Jan | 0% | 21% | 9.0 h | 58°F | n=120 | Too cool for the pool |
| 16–31 Jan | 0% | 27% | 9.5 h | 60°F | n=128 | Too cool for the pool |
| 1–15 Feb | 0% | 23% | 9.5 h | 61°F | n=120 | Too cool for the pool |
| 16–28/29 Feb | 1% | 23% | 10.0 h | 63°F | n=106 | Too cool for the pool |
| 1–15 Mar | 2% | 47% | 9.9 h | 62°F | n=120 | Too cool for the pool |
| 16–31 Mar | 14% | 27% | 11.4 h | 65°F | n=128 | Mild but often grey |
| 1–15 Apr | 15% | 43% | 11.4 h | 66°F | n=120 | Mild but often grey |
| 16–30 Apr | 28% | 29% | 12.9 h | 68°F | n=120 | Mild but often grey |
| 1–15 May | 38% | 18% | 13.0 h | 71°F | n=120 | Mixed — shoulder season |
| 16–31 May | 70% | 5% | 13.3 h | 76°F | n=128 | Good |
| 1–15 Jun | 65% | 14% | 14.0 h | 75°F | n=120 | Good |
| 16–30 Jun | 80% | 18% | 14.0 h | 78°F | n=120 | Good |
| 1–15 Jul | 97% | 2% | 14.0 h | 82°F | n=120 | Excellent |
| 16–31 Jul · best weather | 100% | 2% | 13.8 h | 83°F | n=128 | Excellent |
| 1–15 Aug | 99% | 2% | 13.0 h | 85°F | n=120 | Excellent |
| 16–31 Aug | 99% | 2% | 12.9 h | 83°F | n=128 | Excellent |
| 1–15 Sep | 97% | 15% | 12.0 h | 81°F | n=120 | Excellent |
| 16–30 Sep | 84% | 18% | 11.0 h | 79°F | n=120 | Good |
| 1–15 Oct · best value | 78% | 14% | 11.0 h | 78°F | n=120 | Good |
| 16–31 Oct | 28% | 46% | 9.0 h | 70°F | n=128 | Mild but often grey |
| 1–15 Nov | 2% | 39% | 9.0 h | 66°F | n=120 | Mild but often grey |
| 16–30 Nov | 1% | 37% | 8.9 h | 63°F | n=120 | Too cool for the pool |
| 1–15 Dec | 0% | 37% | 8.5 h | 61°F | n=120 | Too cool for the pool |
| 16–31 Dec | 0% | 26% | 8.8 h | 60°F | n=128 | Too cool for the pool |
Verdict rules: warm+6h ≥ 85 and rain ≤ 45 → Excellent | warm+6h ≥ 60 and rain > 45 → Sunny, but rain on N% of days | warm+6h ≥ 60 → Good | warm+6h ≥ 30 → Mixed — shoulder season | avg high ≥ 65°F → Mild but often grey | otherwise → Too cool for the pool.
Nightly prices by check-in month
Historical observations, not a live price “Observed” rows are the nightly rates our RouteStack searches returned for this hotel for 3 nights, 2 adults checking in within days of the search, between 20 Sep 2026 and 2 Nov 2026 (21 observations).
Today’s price can be higher or lower. Months not listed have no prices yet. The supplier does not say whether these nightly figures include taxes and mandatory fees, so they may be before taxes and fees: this is history, not a total price for a stay.
| Check-in month | Source | Median / night | Range | Count | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | Observed in our daily searches | $212 | — | n=1 (too few to compare) | 20 Sep 2026 – 20 Sep 2026 |
| October 2026 | Observed in our daily searches | $187 | $177–$192 | n=17 | 28 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
| November 2026 | Observed in our daily searches | $182 | $182–$186 | n=3 | 31 Oct 2026 – 2 Nov 2026 |
Getting there
Fastest itinerary we have seen into LIS (17 km from the hotel) from each origin city, from our route probes. These are observed itinerary durations on the date shown, not a schedule.
| From | Airport | Duration | Stops | Carriers | Seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City | JFK | 6h 45m (verified, Duffel) | 0 | Virgin Atlantic | 2026-10-23 |
| Chicago | ORD | 8h 5m (verified, Duffel) | 0 | TAP Air Portugal | 2026-10-23 |
| San Francisco Bay Area | SFO | 11h 10m (verified, Duffel) | 0 | TAP Air Portugal | 2026-10-23 |
| Los Angeles | LAX | 12h 43m (verified, Duffel) | 1 | American Airlines | 2026-10-23 |
Questions
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How this page is made: it exists because we hold at least 10 observed prices of this listing across at least 3 check-in months, its name and coordinates, and an almanac point within 50 km. Hotel details and prices: RouteStack listing 17278642. Weather: Open-Meteo ERA5. More on Lisbon. Methodology.