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Florida · ECP

Panama City Beach weather, next 16 days

Panama City Beach, Florida Just your ID

Panama City Beach scores 8.1 out of 10 and has 4 genuinely clear days out of 16. Dull days (9) still outnumber bright ones (7), so this is not a good run of weather.

8.1/10
Mostly dull
4 genuinely clear days, 3 partly cloudy, 8 overcast, 1 wet-sky, out of 16 forecast days. Rain is in the hourly forecast on 5 days (48h).
Bright days 7 vs dull days 9. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good forecast.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

5-day run 8–12 Nov, 3.8% rain-affected · 4 clear, rain on 5 of 16 forecast days (48h) — Grey and damp — 2 rainy days, zero clear days in 5 (74°F) · 5-day run 8–12 Nov; rain 11 Nov (4h), 12 Nov (2h); rain on 3 of the other 11 days: 20 Nov (3h), 22 Nov (15h), 23 Nov (24h)

The next 16 days in Panama City Beach

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (35%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Sun 8 Nov–Thu 12 Nov: 8.1/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.1) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Panama City Beach daily forecast, Sun 8 Nov to Mon 23 Nov (16 days total). Best single day scores 9.9; worst scores 4.0. A lone good day cannot carry the forecast.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
70°F 51°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Overcast, 70°F, dry as a bone.
74°F 54°F 1% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 74°F, dry as a bone.
74°F 55°F 1% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 74°F, dry as a bone.
74°F 64°F 2% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 74°F — but 2 hours of rain are in the forecast.
74°F 56°F 9% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 74°F — but 2 hours of rain are in the forecast.
59°F 44°F 3% Overcast cloudy 6.9
Overcast, 59°F, toasty with a lid on.
58°F 42°F 0% Clear clear 8.4
Clear skies, 58°F — pack a layer.
61°F 43°F 1% Clear clear 8.7
Clear skies, 61°F — pack a layer.
68°F 52°F 1% Clear clear 9.5
Clear skies, 68°F — pack a layer.
71°F 56°F 1% Clear clear 9.9
Clear skies, 71°F — pack a layer.
73°F 57°F 5% Partly cloudy partly 9.3
Partly cloudy, 73°F, not a drop of rain.
73°F 60°F 11% Partly cloudy partly 9.3
Partly cloudy, 73°F, not a drop of rain.
76°F 62°F 12% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 76°F — but 3 hours of rain are in the forecast.
76°F 69°F 19% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Overcast, 76°F, dry as a bone.
74°F 66°F 24% Violent showers wet 4.0
Violent showers, 74°F — it'll pass — but 12 hours of rain are in the forecast.
67°F 58°F 35% Partly cloudy partly 7.8
Partly cloudy, 67°F, with a sprinkle or two — but 16 hours of rain are in the forecast.

How this forecast got its score

  • 5 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 5 overcast or foggy, 0 with a drizzle/rain/snow sky code, 0 stormy (sky codes; rain hours below).
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 7.9 × 0.55 = 4.36
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 7.0 × 0.25 = 1.75 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 5/5 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 8.5 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Hourly forecast: rain on 2 of 5 days (6h): 11 Nov (4h), 12 Nov (2h).
  • Whole 16-day forecast: 4 clear, 3 partly cloudy, 8 overcast or foggy, 1 with a rain sky code, 0 with a storm sky code; rain hours on 5 of them (48h).

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad run, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Panama City Beach

The nearest airport we price is ECP. From New York City the fastest itinerary we have seen out of LGA takes 4h 33m (verified, Duffel), 1 stop. Then about 19m to drive from ECP (est. 12 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: ~4h 52m (estimated: the drive is a road model). Flight times from 56 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Panama City Beach

30 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. Each price is the total for the stay, taxes and mandatory fees included, as last returned for the window above — a held rate, not a quote, and it moves. A hotel whose total with taxes and fees we cannot confirm shows no price.

Hotels: best time to visit and prices by month

Hotels in Panama City Beach with enough price history for a month-by-month page: weather by half-month and the nightly rates our searches have observed.

So, should you go?

Panama City Beach scores 8.1 out of 10 and has 4 genuinely clear days out of 16. Dull days (9) still outnumber bright ones (7), so this is not a good run of weather. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Panama City Beach in the next 16 days?

Yes. 5 of the next 16 days in Panama City Beach have rain in the forecast (48 forecast rain hours), peaking at 35% chance on the worst day. The run we list, Sun 8 Nov to Thu 12 Nov, is the stretch that clears our rain bar.

How many clear days does Panama City Beach have in the next 16 days?

4. Panama City Beach has 4 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Panama City Beach good for a trip right now?

Marginal. Panama City Beach scores 8.1/10, but dull days (9) still outnumber bright ones (7) over the next 16 days.

Panama City Beach by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 16-day forecast above is what is actually coming. They can and do differ.

Panama City Beach: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 1% n=248 all destinations →
February 4% n=226 all destinations →
March 13% n=248 all destinations →
April 45% n=240 all destinations →
May 43% n=248 all destinations →
June 18% n=240 all destinations →
July 9% n=248 all destinations →
August 11% n=248 all destinations →
September 35% n=240 all destinations →
October 52% n=248 all destinations →
November 26% n=240 all destinations →
December 4% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Panama City Beach in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-11-08T15:01:21.268591Z. Hotel names and rates come from third-party supplier data and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.