Florida · MCO
Orlando weather this week
Just your ID
Orlando scores 8.8 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16. Dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (2), so this is not a good week.
The model gives this week 8.8 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 1 genuinely clear day and 4 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.
6-day window, zero rain — The clouds are winning — 1 clear day out of 6 plus 1 partly cloudy, 90°F
The next 16 days in Orlando
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (62%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
Booking window Thu 24 Sep–Tue 29 Sep: 8.8/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.8) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89°F | 74°F | 47% | Rain showers wet | 5.6 Rain showers, 89°F — it'll pass. |
|
| 86°F | 74°F | 23% | Overcast cloudy | 8.1 Overcast, 86°F, light rain possible. |
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| 84°F | 68°F | 6% | Partly cloudy partly | 9.3 Partly cloudy, 84°F, not a drop of rain. |
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| 88°F | 71°F | 1% | Overcast cloudy | 8.4 Overcast, 88°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 88°F | 71°F | 1% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Overcast, 88°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 89°F | 72°F | 6% | Overcast cloudy | 8.3 Overcast, 89°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 90°F | 73°F | 18% | Clear clear | 9.4 Clear skies, 90°F — sunscreen is not optional. |
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| 91°F | 73°F | 44% | Light drizzle wet | 6.1 Light drizzle, 91°F — it'll pass. |
|
| 90°F | 76°F | 60% | Overcast cloudy | 6.1 Overcast, 90°F, light rain possible. |
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| 94°F | 77°F | 62% | Thunderstorm storm | 4.0 Thunderstorms, 94°F — Mother Nature has opinions. |
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| 91°F | 77°F | 41% | Thunderstorm storm | 4.0 Thunderstorms, 91°F — Mother Nature has opinions. |
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| 92°F | 76°F | 54% | Drizzle wet | 5.3 Drizzle, 92°F — it'll pass. |
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| 81°F | 75°F | 55% | Drizzle wet | 5.9 Drizzle, 81°F — it'll pass. |
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| 88°F | 75°F | 56% | Overcast cloudy | 6.6 Overcast, 88°F, light rain possible. |
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| 88°F | 73°F | 58% | Partly cloudy partly | 7.4 Partly cloudy, 88°F, with a sprinkle or two. |
|
| 91°F | 72°F | 61% | Overcast cloudy | 5.9 Overcast, 91°F, light rain possible. |
How this week got its score
- 6 forecast days: 1 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 4 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 8.6 × 0.55 = 4.74
- Worst day drag: worst day is 8.1 × 0.25 = 2.02 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 6/6 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
- Best single day is 9.4 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Orlando
The nearest airport we price is MCO. From New York City that is about 2h 23m in the air out of JFK, 945 miles. Then about 13m to drive from MCO (est. 9 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 2h 36m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Orlando
We hold no live hotel rates for Orlando right now, so there is nothing honest to show here. Rates return as soon as the supplier does — the refresh state is on system status.
So, should you go?
Orlando scores 8.8 out of 10 and has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16. Dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (2), so this is not a good week. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.
Frequently asked
Is it raining in Orlando this week?
No. The current 16-day forecast for Orlando shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 62% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.
How many clear days does Orlando have this week?
One. Orlando has exactly one genuinely clear day in the next 16.
Is Orlando good for a trip this week?
Marginal. Orlando scores 8.8/10, but dull days (4) still outnumber bright ones (2) this week.
Orlando by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 20% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 33% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 45% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 44% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 30% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 7% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 2% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 3% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 10% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 30% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 32% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 26% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Orlando in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-24T02:07:50.537610Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.