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SunnyDays

Florida · MCO

Orlando weather this week

Orlando, Florida

Orlando scores 4.5 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 7. One of those days carries thunderstorms.

4.5/10
No clear day
<built-in method clear of dict object at 0x7ce27009cf40> genuinely clear days, 1 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 2 wet, 1 stormy — out of 7 forecast days.
Bright days 1 vs dull days 6. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good week.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

4 cloudy / 3 wet days, no clear days in 7 — Nature is in a mood — 1 stormy day and 101°F heat

The next 7 days in Orlando

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 7 days (34%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Wed 12 Aug–Fri 14 Aug: 5.9/10 for those days alone. The 7-day outlook score (4.5) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Orlando daily forecast, Sun 9 Aug to Sat 15 Aug (7 days total). Best single day scores 7.4; worst scores 4.0. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
96°F 75°F 34% Heavy drizzle wet 5.3
Heavy drizzle - expect to get wet
90°F 76°F 23% Rain showers wet 5.6
Rain showers - expect to get wet
101°F 79°F 16% Thunderstorm storm 4.0
Storms - skip it
101°F 81°F 16% Overcast cloudy 6.3
Cloudy and dry
100°F 81°F 9% Partly cloudy partly 7.4
Partly cloudy and dry
100°F 81°F 14% Overcast cloudy 6.5
Cloudy and dry
101°F 78°F 10% Rain showers cloudy 5.4
Cloudy and dry

How this week got its score

  • 7 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 2 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 1 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 5.8 × 0.55 = 3.20
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 4.0 × 0.25 = 1.00 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 1/7 = 14% coverage × 0.20 = 0.29
  • Best single day is 7.4 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-12→2026-08-14) scores 5.9 on its own.
  • Legacy gate counted 4/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 0 genuinely clear.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Orlando

The nearest airport we price is MCO. From New York City that is about 2h 23m in the air out of JFK, 945 miles. Then about 13m to drive from MCO (est. 9 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 2h 36m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Orlando

3 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Orlando scores 4.5 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 7. One of those days carries thunderstorms. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Orlando by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Orlando: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 20% n=248 all destinations →
February 33% n=226 all destinations →
March 45% n=248 all destinations →
April 44% n=240 all destinations →
May 30% n=248 all destinations →
June 7% n=240 all destinations →
July 2% n=248 all destinations →
August 3% n=248 all destinations →
September 10% n=240 all destinations →
October 30% n=248 all destinations →
November 32% n=240 all destinations →
December 26% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Orlando in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-09T05:01:05.311896Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.