New York · JFK
New York City weather this week
Just your ID
New York City scores 8.6 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.
The model gives this week 8.6 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 0 genuinely clear days and 3 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.
3-day window, 3.1% rain-affected — Mild and overcast — grey skies all 3 days, 85°F
The next 16 days in New York City
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (51%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
Booking window Thu 1 Oct–Sat 3 Oct: 8.6/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.6) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68°F | 58°F | 3% | Overcast cloudy | 8.1 Overcast, 68°F, toasty with a lid on. |
|
| 70°F | 56°F | 1% | Overcast cloudy | 8.2 Overcast, 70°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 77°F | 65°F | 0% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Overcast, 77°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 85°F | 67°F | 10% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Overcast, 85°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 73°F | 63°F | 26% | Overcast cloudy | 8.0 Overcast, 73°F, light rain possible. |
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| 66°F | 61°F | 51% | Rain showers wet | 5.2 Rain showers, 66°F — it'll pass. |
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| 66°F | 54°F | 35% | Overcast cloudy | 6.9 Overcast, 66°F, light rain possible. |
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| 63°F | 52°F | 12% | Clear clear | 8.8 Clear skies, 63°F — pack a layer. |
|
| 61°F | 52°F | 3% | Partly cloudy partly | 8.1 Partly cloudy, 61°F, not a drop of rain. |
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| 60°F | 53°F | 13% | Drizzle cloudy | 6.1 Overcast, 60°F, toasty with a lid on. |
|
| 58°F | 56°F | 22% | Rain showers wet | 5.5 Rain showers, 58°F — it'll pass. |
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| 59°F | 47°F | 14% | Partly cloudy partly | 7.7 Partly cloudy, 59°F, not a drop of rain. |
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| 56°F | 44°F | 20% | Partly cloudy partly | 7.1 Partly cloudy, 56°F, with a sprinkle or two. |
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| 64°F | 50°F | 23% | Overcast cloudy | 7.1 Overcast, 64°F, light rain possible. |
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| 72°F | 55°F | 20% | Overcast cloudy | 8.1 Overcast, 72°F, light rain possible. |
|
| unknown | unknown | 20% | Unknown unknown | 6.5 Hazy conditions. |
How this week got its score
- 3 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 8.3 × 0.55 = 4.58
- Worst day drag: worst day is 8.0 × 0.25 = 2.00 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 3/3 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
- Best single day is 8.5 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to New York City
The nearest airport we price is JFK. From New York City that is about 30m in the air out of JFK. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in New York City
15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.
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$471per night$1,413 total
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$529per night$1,587 total
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$1,864per night$5,591 total
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$657per night$1,972 total
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$696per night$2,088 total
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$583per night$1,750 total
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$880per night$2,641 total
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$679per night$2,038 total
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$562per night$1,687 total
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$2,501per night$7,504 total
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$793per night$2,379 total
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$1,043per night$3,129 total
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$487per night$1,462 total
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$479per night$1,438 total
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$612per night$1,835 total
So, should you go?
New York City scores 8.6 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16. If sunshine is the reason you are travelling, pick somewhere else this week — the full list is sorted by genuinely clear days, so the top of it is where to look.
Frequently asked
Is it raining in New York City this week?
No. The current 16-day forecast for New York City shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 51% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.
How many clear days does New York City have this week?
Zero. New York City has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.
Is New York City good for a trip this week?
Not for the sun. New York City scores 8.6/10 this week, but that score measures warmth and dryness, not sunshine — there is no genuinely clear day in the forecast.
New York City by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 0% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 0% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 6% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 24% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 39% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 31% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 35% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 40% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 13% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 2% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 0% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for New York City in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-29T04:01:25.263469Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.