New York · SWF
Hudson Valley weather this week
Just your ID
Hudson Valley scores 7.1 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.
The model gives this week 7.1 out of 10 because it is warm and largely rain-free, and those are the two things the score measures. It is not measuring sunshine. With 0 genuinely clear days and 3 dull ones, expect grey skies. We are showing you the number and the contradiction rather than only the number.
3-day window, 4.2% rain-affected — Warm, dry, and the sun never shows — zero clear days in 3, one rainy day
The next 16 days in Hudson Valley
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (95%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
Booking window Wed 30 Sep–Fri 2 Oct: 7.1/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (7.1) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60°F | 56°F | 95% | Light rain wet | 3.0 Light rain, 60°F — it'll pass. |
|
| 66°F | 55°F | 2% | Overcast cloudy | 7.8 Overcast, 66°F, toasty with a lid on. |
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| 75°F | 54°F | 1% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Overcast, 75°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 74°F | 59°F | 1% | Overcast cloudy | 8.5 Overcast, 74°F, dry as a bone. |
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| 86°F | 61°F | 18% | Drizzle wet | 6.2 Drizzle, 86°F — it'll pass. |
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| 67°F | 49°F | 21% | Overcast cloudy | 7.5 Overcast, 67°F, light rain possible. |
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| 58°F | 47°F | 47% | Rain wet | 4.2 Rain, 58°F — it'll pass. |
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| 63°F | 44°F | 29% | Overcast cloudy | 6.8 Overcast, 63°F, light rain possible. |
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| 58°F | 40°F | 2% | Clear clear | 8.3 Clear skies, 58°F — pack a layer. |
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| 60°F | 38°F | 2% | Overcast cloudy | 7.1 Overcast, 60°F, toasty with a lid on. |
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| 54°F | 37°F | 11% | Drizzle cloudy | 5.5 Overcast, 54°F, toasty with a lid on. |
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| 52°F | 48°F | 20% | Light rain wet | 4.7 Light rain, 52°F — it'll pass. |
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| 55°F | 37°F | 13% | Overcast cloudy | 6.4 Overcast, 55°F, toasty with a lid on. |
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| 57°F | 33°F | 20% | Overcast cloudy | 6.3 Overcast, 57°F, light rain possible. |
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| 65°F | 39°F | 20% | Overcast cloudy | 7.3 Overcast, 65°F, light rain possible. |
|
| 70°F | 46°F | 20% | Overcast cloudy | 7.9 Overcast, 70°F, light rain possible. |
How this week got its score
- 3 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 2 overcast, 1 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 7.7 × 0.55 = 4.25
- Worst day drag: worst day is 6.2 × 0.25 = 1.55 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 2/3 = 67% coverage × 0.20 = 1.33
- Best single day is 8.5 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Hudson Valley
The nearest airport we price is SWF. From New York City that is about 30m in the air out of SWF. Then about 26m to drive from SWF (est. 16 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 56m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Hudson Valley
15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.
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$103per night$309 total
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$108per night$325 total
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$223per night$668 total
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$388per night$1,164 total
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$276per night$827 total
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$253per night$760 total
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$336per night$1,009 total
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$513per night$1,539 total
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$323per night$970 total
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$297per night$890 total
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$174per night$523 total
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$311per night$932 total
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$141per night$423 total
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$316per night$949 total
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$230per night$691 total
So, should you go?
Hudson Valley scores 7.1 out of 10 and has no genuinely clear day in the next 16. If sunshine is the reason you are travelling, pick somewhere else this week — the full list is sorted by genuinely clear days, so the top of it is where to look.
Frequently asked
Is it raining in Hudson Valley this week?
Partly. 1 of the next 16 day in Hudson Valley are forecast wet or stormy, peaking at 95% chance on the worst day — the rest are dry, whatever the cloud cover.
How many clear days does Hudson Valley have this week?
Zero. Hudson Valley has no genuinely clear day in the next 16.
Is Hudson Valley good for a trip this week?
Not for the sun. Hudson Valley scores 7.1/10 this week, but that score measures warmth and dryness, not sunshine — there is no genuinely clear day in the forecast.
Hudson Valley by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 0% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 0% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 4% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 20% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 38% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 33% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 37% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 33% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 11% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 1% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 0% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Hudson Valley in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-29T02:06:58.524557Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.