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South Carolina · SAV

Hilton Head weather, next 16 days

Hilton Head, South Carolina Just your ID

Hilton Head scores 8.2 out of 10 and has 5 genuinely clear days out of 16. Dull days (10) still outnumber bright ones (5), so this is not a good run of weather.

8.2/10
Mostly dull
5 genuinely clear days, 0 partly cloudy, 10 overcast, out of 16 forecast days. Rain is in the hourly forecast on 3 days (19h).
Bright days 5 vs dull days 10. Dull wins, so we do not call this a good forecast.
We are not showing a flattering tier word here. Why the score and the sky can disagree.

3-day run 9–11 Nov, zero rain · 5 clear, rain on 3 of 16 forecast days (19h) — Cool, grey, and dry — overcast all 3 days, peaks around 78°F, 1 foggy day · 3-day run 9–11 Nov; rain on 3 of the other 13 days: 12 Nov (5h), 22 Nov (10h), 23 Nov (4h)

The next 16 days in Hilton Head

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (35%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Mon 9 Nov–Wed 11 Nov: 8.2/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.2) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Hilton Head daily forecast, Sun 8 Nov to Mon 23 Nov (16 days total). Best single day scores 9.7; worst scores 5.9. A lone good day cannot carry the forecast.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
69°F 54°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Overcast, 69°F, dry as a bone.
74°F 51°F 0% Fog cloudy 7.0
Fog, 74°F — not rain, just slow to lift.
78°F 56°F 0% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 78°F, dry as a bone.
77°F 59°F 1% Overcast cloudy 8.5
Overcast, 77°F, dry as a bone.
67°F 57°F 12% Light drizzle cloudy 7.0
Overcast, 67°F, toasty with a lid on — but 5 hours of rain are in the forecast.
58°F 44°F 9% Overcast cloudy 6.9
Overcast, 58°F, toasty with a lid on.
58°F 38°F 2% Clear clear 8.3
Clear skies, 58°F — pack a layer.
64°F 35°F 1% Clear clear 9.0
Clear skies, 64°F — pack a layer.
70°F 40°F 2% Clear clear 9.7
Clear skies, 70°F — pack a layer.
70°F 46°F 3% Mainly clear clear 9.5
Clear skies, 70°F — pack a layer.
69°F 50°F 2% Overcast cloudy 8.2
Overcast, 69°F, dry as a bone.
68°F 50°F 14% Overcast cloudy 7.9
Overcast, 68°F, toasty with a lid on.
73°F 54°F 16% Overcast cloudy 8.3
Overcast, 73°F, dry as a bone.
79°F 57°F 19% Mainly clear clear 9.5
Clear skies, 79°F, zero drama.
72°F 55°F 32% Overcast cloudy 7.7
Overcast, 72°F, light rain possible — but 10 hours of rain are in the forecast.
unknown unknown 35% Unknown unknown 5.9
Hazy conditions — but 4 hours of rain are in the forecast.

How this forecast got its score

  • 3 forecast days: 0 clear/mainly clear, 0 partly cloudy, 3 overcast or foggy, 0 with a drizzle/rain/snow sky code, 0 stormy (sky codes; rain hours below).
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 8.0 × 0.55 = 4.40
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 7.0 × 0.25 = 1.75 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 3/3 = 100% coverage × 0.20 = 2.00
  • Best single day is 8.5 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Hourly forecast: no rain hours in any of the 3 days.
  • Whole 16-day forecast: 5 clear, 0 partly cloudy, 10 overcast or foggy, 0 with a rain sky code, 0 with a storm sky code; rain hours on 3 of them (19h).

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad run, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Hilton Head

The nearest airport we price is SAV. From New York City the fastest itinerary we have seen out of HPN takes 3h 53m (verified, Duffel), 1 stop. Flight times from 56 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Hilton Head

15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. Each price is the total for the stay, taxes and mandatory fees included, as last returned for the window above — a held rate, not a quote, and it moves. A hotel whose total with taxes and fees we cannot confirm shows no price.

Hotels: best time to visit and prices by month

Hotels in Hilton Head with enough price history for a month-by-month page: weather by half-month and the nightly rates our searches have observed.

So, should you go?

Hilton Head scores 8.2 out of 10 and has 5 genuinely clear days out of 16. Dull days (10) still outnumber bright ones (5), so this is not a good run of weather. There is some sun in this window, but not much. Compare it against the rest of the list before booking.

Frequently asked

Is it raining in Hilton Head in the next 16 days?

Yes. 3 of the next 16 days in Hilton Head have rain in the forecast (19 forecast rain hours), peaking at 35% chance on the worst day. The run we list, Mon 9 Nov to Wed 11 Nov, is the stretch that clears our rain bar.

How many clear days does Hilton Head have in the next 16 days?

5. Hilton Head has 5 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.

Is Hilton Head good for a trip right now?

Marginal. Hilton Head scores 8.2/10, but dull days (10) still outnumber bright ones (5) over the next 16 days.

Hilton Head by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 16-day forecast above is what is actually coming. They can and do differ.

Hilton Head: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 0% n=248 all destinations →
February 10% n=226 all destinations →
March 19% n=248 all destinations →
April 38% n=240 all destinations →
May 39% n=248 all destinations →
June 20% n=240 all destinations →
July 15% n=248 all destinations →
August 9% n=248 all destinations →
September 33% n=240 all destinations →
October 45% n=248 all destinations →
November 12% n=240 all destinations →
December 6% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Hilton Head in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-11-08T10:00:29.682430Z. Hotel names and rates come from third-party supplier data and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.