AE · DXB
Dubai weather this week
Passport worthy
Dubai scores 8.1 out of 10 and has 4 genuinely clear days out of 16.
6-day window, zero rain — Sunshine, day after day — 5-days run, 4 genuinely clear, 1 partly cloudy — 99°F peaks
The next 16 days in Dubai
Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 16 days (4%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.
Booking window Thu 8 Oct–Tue 13 Oct: 8.1/10 for those days alone. The 16-day outlook score (8.1) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.
| Day | High | Low | Rain chance | Sky | Day score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102°F | 80°F | 0% | Clear clear | 7.8 Clear skies, 102°F — aggressively sunny. |
|
| 100°F | 81°F | 0% | Clear clear | 8.1 Clear skies, 100°F — aggressively sunny. |
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| 105°F | 83°F | 0% | Clear clear | 7.3 Clear skies, 105°F — aggressively sunny. |
|
| 102°F | 83°F | 4% | Clear clear | 7.8 Clear skies, 102°F — aggressively sunny. |
|
| 100°F | 83°F | 0% | Clear clear | 8.1 Clear skies, 100°F — aggressively sunny. |
|
| 97°F | 83°F | 0% | Clear clear | 8.6 Clear skies, 97°F — aggressively sunny. |
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| 95°F | 86°F | 0% | Clear clear | 8.9 Clear skies, 95°F — sunscreen is not optional. |
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| 95°F | 84°F | 0% | Clear clear | 8.9 Clear skies, 95°F — sunscreen is not optional. |
|
| 101°F | 85°F | 0% | Mainly clear clear | 7.6 Clear skies, 101°F — aggressively sunny. |
|
| 99°F | 85°F | 0% | Clear clear | 8.2 Clear skies, 99°F — aggressively sunny. |
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| 93°F | 82°F | 0% | Clear clear | 9.2 Clear skies, 93°F — sunscreen is not optional. |
|
| 94°F | 83°F | 0% | Partly cloudy partly | 8.4 Partly cloudy, 94°F, not a drop of rain. |
|
| 94°F | 82°F | 0% | Clear clear | 9.0 Clear skies, 94°F — sunscreen is not optional. |
|
| 98°F | 82°F | 2% | Clear clear | 8.4 Clear skies, 98°F — aggressively sunny. |
|
| 98°F | 81°F | 4% | Overcast cloudy | 6.9 Overcast, 98°F, toasty with a lid on. |
|
| unknown | unknown | 0% | Unknown unknown | 6.9 Hazy conditions. |
How this week got its score
- 6 forecast days: 4 clear/mainly clear, 1 partly cloudy, 1 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
- Trimmed mean of day scores 8.5 × 0.55 = 4.68
- Worst day drag: worst day is 6.9 × 0.25 = 1.73 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
- Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 5/6 = 83% coverage × 0.20 = 1.67
- Best single day is 9.2 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.
Getting to Dubai
The nearest airport we price is DXB. From New York City that is about 14h 06m in the air out of ISP, 6804 miles. Then about 11m to drive from DXB (est. 7 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 14h 17m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.
Where to stay in Dubai
15 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.
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$72.50per night$218 total
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$138per night$413 total
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$67.59per night$203 total
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$67.17per night$202 total
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$154per night$463 total
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$87.51per night$263 total
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$95.62per night$287 total
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$140per night$419 total
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$602per night$1,807 total
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$274per night$821 total
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$120per night$360 total
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$161per night$483 total
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$228per night$683 total
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$96.73per night$290 total
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$172per night$515 total
So, should you go?
Dubai scores 8.1 out of 10 and has 4 genuinely clear days out of 16. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.
Frequently asked
Is it raining in Dubai this week?
No. The current 16-day forecast for Dubai shows no rain or storm days, peaking at 4% chance on the worst day. Cloud is not the dealbreaker here — rain is, and none is forecast.
How many clear days does Dubai have this week?
4. Dubai has 4 genuinely clear days out of the next 16.
Is Dubai good for a trip this week?
Yes. Dubai scores 8.1/10 with 4 genuinely clear days out of 16 — bright days outnumber dull ones.
Dubai by month — 8-year ERA5 history
Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.
| Month | Historically clear | Sample (n) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 71% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| February | 73% | n=226 | all destinations → |
| March | 87% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| April | 94% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| May | 98% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| June | 100% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| July | 97% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| August | 100% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| September | 100% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| October | 96% | n=248 | all destinations → |
| November | 91% | n=240 | all destinations → |
| December | 85% | n=248 | all destinations → |
Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Dubai in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.
Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-09-29T02:06:58.524557Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.