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SunnyDays

Texas · DFW

Dallas weather this week

Dallas, Texas

Dallas scores 5.2 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 7.

5.2/10
Partly clear
<built-in method clear of dict object at 0x7ce2615a4f00> genuinely clear days, 2 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 0 wet, 0 stormy — out of 7 forecast days.
Bright days 4 vs dull days 3. Bright wins.
Our model tiers this window Mixed, and the clear-day count supports that.

2 clear of 7 days · best run 1 days — Good weather makes a brief appearance — 1 day in a row, then it unravels and 106°F heat

The next 7 days in Dallas

Every number below is the forecast we hold, rendered as text — nothing here is drawn on a canvas or filled in by JavaScript. The rain figure is the highest chance across all 7 days (3%), not the lowest, because the worst number is the useful one.

Booking window Sun 9 Aug–Tue 11 Aug: 6.1/10 for those days alone. The 7-day outlook score (5.2) covers the full table below and includes days outside that window.

Dallas daily forecast, Sun 9 Aug to Sat 15 Aug (7 days total). Best single day scores 7.8; worst scores 5.6. A lone good day cannot carry the week.
Day High Low Rain chance Sky Day score
100°F 77°F 3% Mainly clear clear 7.8
Clear but hot (100°F)
101°F 79°F 1% Overcast cloudy 6.4
Cloudy and dry
105°F 83°F 1% Partly cloudy partly 6.6
Partly cloudy and dry
106°F 83°F 0% Overcast cloudy 5.7
Cloudy and dry
106°F 83°F 0% Overcast cloudy 5.6
Cloudy and dry
106°F 81°F 1% Partly cloudy partly 6.4
Partly cloudy and dry
106°F 84°F 2% Clear clear 7.1
Clear but hot (106°F)

How this week got its score

  • 7 forecast days: 2 clear/mainly clear, 2 partly cloudy, 3 overcast, 0 wet (fog/drizzle/rain/showers), 0 stormy.
  • Trimmed mean of day scores 6.4 × 0.55 = 3.54
  • Worst day drag: worst day is 5.6 × 0.25 = 1.40 - one bad day cannot be averaged away.
  • Longest consecutive run of good days (≥7.0) is 1/7 = 14% coverage × 0.20 = 0.29
  • Best single day is 7.8 but it only counts through the trimmed mean - a lone great day cannot carry the window.
  • Advertised 3-day window (2026-08-09→2026-08-11) scores 6.1 on its own.
  • Legacy gate counted 7/7 days as "perfect sun"; this model counts 2 genuinely clear.

The full model, including why a single great day cannot rescue a bad week, is on the methodology page.

Getting to Dallas

The nearest airport we price is DFW. From New York City that is about 3h 14m in the air out of EWR, 1370 miles. Then about 9m to drive from DAL (est. 6 mi — road model, not real routing). Total door-to-lounger: 3h 23m. Flight times from 55 other departure metros are on the search page.

Where to stay in Dallas

3 properties we currently hold live rates for, in supplier order. The nightly rate shown is what the supplier returned at the last refresh for the window above — it is a held rate, not a quote, and it moves.

So, should you go?

Dallas scores 5.2 out of 10 and has 2 genuinely clear days out of 7. That holds up. Check the daily rows above for which specific days carry the sun, and price it from your own airport.

Dallas by month — 8-year ERA5 history

Historical clear-sky percentages from the ERA5 reanalysis (2018–2025). This is history, not a forecast — the 7-day forecast above is this week. They can and do differ.

Dallas: clear-sky % by month, ERA5 2018–2025. n = days sampled.
Month Historically clear Sample (n)
January 3% n=248 all destinations →
February 11% n=226 all destinations →
March 23% n=248 all destinations →
April 33% n=240 all destinations →
May 36% n=248 all destinations →
June 38% n=240 all destinations →
July 47% n=248 all destinations →
August 54% n=248 all destinations →
September 48% n=240 all destinations →
October 49% n=248 all destinations →
November 21% n=240 all destinations →
December 9% n=248 all destinations →

Each month links to the detailed almanac page for Dallas in that month. The “all destinations” column links to the full ranking across all destinations for that month.

Forecast data from Open-Meteo, last refreshed 2026-08-09T05:01:05.311896Z. Hotel names and rates come from LiteAPI and change constantly; the rate shown is the rate we held at refresh time, not a quote. Scores are forecasts, not guarantees, and the whole model is published on our methodology page.