ERA5 almanac comparison — 8 years of real data
Nashville vs Scottsdale: weather in February
Scottsdale is the clear winner for sun in February: 42% of days historically clear versus just 1% in Nashville — a 41-point gap across 8 years of ERA5 data. Nashville also sees measurably more rain than Scottsdale this month (49% vs 13% of days). This isn't close.
What you are reading: 8-year historical averages, not a forecast.
Either destination can still surprise you this specific February. For this
week’s actual forecast, each destination links to its live page below.
Nashville
TN
- Clear days, February
- 1%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 55°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 0%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 2%
- Rain frequency
- 49% of days
Scottsdale
AZ
- Clear days, February
- 42%
- Sample size
- n=226 days
- Avg high
- 70°F
- Early February (1st–15th)
- 43%
- Late February (16th–end)
- 40%
- Rain frequency
- 13% of days
Compare Nashville vs Scottsdale in another month
All percentages are historical averages from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 8 full years (2018–2025). “Clear” means avg high ≥ 72 °F, precipitation < 1 mm, and a non-precipitation weather code. This is history, not a forecast. The live 7-day outlook for any destination is on its own page and may differ from the long-run average. Data from Open-Meteo.